Selling in 2027? What a buyer will find in your 2026 numbers, and how to find it first. Live session, January 20. Owner session, January 20.Reserve your seat
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InsightsFor sellersWhat a buyer finds

What a buyer’s diligence finds, and what it does to the price.

The same findings recur in founder-owned companies, and each one has a known effect: a lower price, an earnout, an escrow, or a letter that dies. All of them are in documents the company already holds.

The findings
What a buyer finds · The findings

Eight findings that recur, and what each one does to the price.

Add-backs without a document

Owner compensation, personal expenses, one-time costs and related-party items that are listed from memory. A buyer accepts the ones with a document and prices the business without the rest. The adjustment that fails is not argued; it is removed.

Revenue booked when the cash arrived

Subscription and contract revenue recorded on receipt rather than when earned, and one-time revenue presented as recurring. The buyer restates it, and the restated earnings are the ones that get priced.

One customer, a third of revenue

Concentration above 20 to 25 percent in one customer, payer or contract. The price does not always fall; the structure changes, and the earnout or the escrow carries the risk the buyer will not.

Statements that differ from the tax returns

The lender checks the seller’s financial data against IRS transcripts. Where the internal statements and the returns disagree, the lower figure is the one that gets underwritten.

Working capital with a season in it

A business that bills annually in January and spends through the year has a working capital pattern. The buyer sets the target from the trailing twelve months, and a seller who does not know the pattern funds the gap at closing.

Sales tax, contractors, and the liabilities nobody booked

Uncollected sales tax on software sold across states, contractors who look like employees, and the unrecorded liabilities that become the claims after closing. These are the findings that reach a judge.

A contract that needs consent

Customer, vendor and license agreements with change-of-control or assignment clauses. Each one is a counterparty who can say no, and a buyer counts them before pricing the certainty of close.

A business that runs through its owner

Relationships, approvals, pricing and sales that sit with one person. The buyer prices the transition, and the price of a transition is a longer earnout, a longer consulting term, or a lower number.

What a buyer finds · The numbers

How often the findings end a deal, or follow it home.

21.3%Broken letters that ended on the earnings

Share of seventy-five collapsed letters of intent in 2025 where adjusted earnings were not what was presented. Double the share of two years earlier.

25.3%Broken letters that ended on another finding

A license, a contract, a compliance gap, a customer concentration: the findings outside the earnings work.

24%Claims for undisclosed liabilities

Share of all breach-of-representation claims against private sellers after closing, up from 11 percent two years earlier.

21Cents paid per dollar of earnout

Across private-target deals with an earnout, excluding life sciences, the share of the maximum earnout that was actually paid. An earnout is a finding that became a term.

89%Deals where the price moved after closing

Of deals with a purchase price adjustment mechanism, the share where an adjustment occurred.

60 to 90%Sellers with under a year of exit planning

Across five deal-size segments in the lower middle market, the share of sellers who arrived at the sale with less than one year of planning, or none.

What a buyer finds · What it means

A buyer finds nothing the company did not already know. The buyer finds it later, with leverage.

Why the same findings recur

A founder-owned company is run from its bank balance and its tax return, and that is enough to run it. A buyer reads it differently: as a set of earnings that must be traced to source, a set of customers whose contracts must transfer, and a set of liabilities that must be known before they are inherited. The findings above are the places where the two readings differ, and they recur because the records that produce them are the same from one founder-owned company to the next.

What each finding does is also predictable. An unsupported add-back is removed. Restated revenue is repriced. A concentration becomes an earnout. A consent becomes a closing condition. An unrecorded liability becomes a claim against the escrow, and the claims for undisclosed liabilities are now a quarter of all claims and the slowest to resolve. Of the deals that have a purchase price adjustment mechanism, nearly nine in ten see an adjustment.

A buyer does not find anything the company did not already know. The buyer finds it later, with leverage.Our read

What finding it first changes

It does not change the finding. It changes who holds it, and when. An add-back with its document attached is accepted; the same add-back found by the buyer is removed and the rest are doubted. A concentration disclosed with the contract and the renewal history is a term to negotiate; the same concentration found in week six is a reason to reopen the price. The preparation review reads the records the way a buyer will, marks each adjustment supported or unsupported with the document that decides it, and lists what to fix first. The owner keeps the findings, and nothing reaches a buyer without written permission.

The lower middle market arrives at the sale unprepared: across five size segments, 60 to 90 percent of sellers had less than a year of exit planning. In the 2023 owner survey, 42 percent of owners had a written transition plan and 22 percent had an advisory team. The buyer’s team, by contrast, has done this before.

For sellers

Find it before a buyer does.
Then decide what to do about it.

The Pre-Market Assessment is the first read: an indicative valuation range, the earnings behind it as you report them, what moves the range, and a plan in order of what raises the value. You do not need to have decided to sell.

Request a Pre-Market Assessment

Scope is agreed in writing before any work begins. Nothing from your assessment reaches a buyer, or anyone else, without your written permission.